The biomethane potential for public transport decarbonization in Italian cities

The transport sector remains heavily reliant on oil products, and it is among those that are considered harder to decarbonize, especially in some specific segments. Considering public transport, there is currently a significant interest in electrifying urban buses, especially for some routes that are well suited for the current characteristics of battery electric buses. However, for some applications, including long-distance buses, biomethane could play an important role in contributing to the decarbonisation of the sector, especially considering the important part of the current fleet in Italy that is already operating on fossil natural gas. This analysis presents a comparison of the potential role of biomethane to support public transport decarbonization in Italy, by estimating CO2 equivalent emissions savings considering the current biogas plants and natural gas buses in Italian cities. An additional evaluation is performed considering the future expected evolution of biomethane production in line with the new Piano Nazionale Integrato per l'Energia e il Clima, that aims to a total production of 5.7 bcm by 2030, as well as the expected 1.5 bcm of biomethane allocated to the transport sector. Within these maximum potential levels, the results of the analysis demonstrate the important savings that can be achieved with biomethane, especially when exploiting specific feedstocks that have a very low impact in terms of well-to-wheels emissions. Biomethane can represent an interesting complement to electric buses, as it can exploit the already existing fleet based on natural gas, and it also shows a number of advantages on routes that are not suitable for electric buses.