Diffusion of Connected, Communicative and Automated Mobility systems: an agent-based model

Connected, Communicating and Automated Mobility (CCAM) systems are a key component of the future of smart cities. Providing tools to understand and forecast their diffusion will facilitate the design and deployment of a much needed technology, improving efficiency and sustainability of our urban environments. In this paper, the authors present an agentbased model for the diffusion in a metropolitan area of such a service, and discuss its features and potentialities. The data used to inform the model have been collected within the context of the SINFONICA project, the flagship European-funded project that aims to foster the diffusion of CCAM systems in Europe. The agents in the model behave accordingly to transportation-related attributes that define their habits as well as consumer-related attributes that define their preferences and technological attitude. We discuss two scenarios, with different performance levels of the CCAM service that produce qualitatively different diffusion patterns. The proposed ABM represents a valuable tool for city planners and technology developers invested in the creation of smart cities.