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EnglishThe prediction of the small-scale spatial-temporal pattern of intense rainfall events is crucial for flood risk assessment in small catchments and urban areas. In the absence of a full deterministic modelling of small-scale rainfall, it is common practice to resort to the use of stochastic downscaling models to generate ensemble rainfall predictions to be used as inputs to rainfall-runoff models. In this work we present an application of a new spatial-temporal downscaling procedure, called RainFARM, to an intense precipitation event predicted by the limited-area meteorological model Lokal Model over north-west Italy. The uncertainty in flood prediction associated with the small unresolved scales of forecasted precipitation fields is evaluated by using an ensemble of downscaled fields to drive a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model.
Rainfall downscaling and flood forecasting: a case study in the Mediterranean area / Rebora, N.; Ferraris, L.; von Hardenberg, J.; Provenzale, A.. - In: NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES. - ISSN 1561-8633. - 6:4(2006), pp. 611-619.
| Titolo: | Rainfall downscaling and flood forecasting: a case study in the Mediterranean area |
| Autori: | |
| Data di pubblicazione: | 2006 |
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| Digital Object Identifier (DOI): | http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-6-611-2006 |
| Appare nelle tipologie: | 1.1 Articolo in rivista |
File in questo prodotto:
| File | Descrizione | Tipologia | Licenza | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006Rainfallnhess-6-611-2006.pdf | 2a Post-print versione editoriale / Version of Record |  | Visibile a tuttiVisualizza/Apri |
http://hdl.handle.net/11583/2814862
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