Uncertainty Characterization of Carrier-Based Demand Response in Smart Multi-Energy Systems

The concept of Carrier-Based Demand Response (CBDR) programs in Smart Multi-Energy Systems (MES) is proposed in this paper. It is discussed that by establishing the bi-directional relation between multi-energy demand and MES through the penetration of multi-carrier device technologies, the opportunity of demand-side participation in system operation can be activated. In this paper, the external dependency caused by multi-carrier devices is employed as a demand response. The CBDR is introduced as the flexibility of end-use to change the conversion pattern of input carriers into required demand. As the CBDR program is influenced by energy carrier prices, upstream network obligations and also the customer’s behavior, its uncertainty is effectively modeled in this paper. The results compare the difference between the stochastic and deterministic approaches to the problem and show the improved accuracy through the stochastic modeling. The role of those customers that are not taking part in CBDR program is also investigated.