Recognizing the intricate spatiotemporal correlation (STC) among wind farms (WFs) is critical to achieving better predictions for wind farm clusters (WFCs). To describe the STC accurately, this paper employs the wind angular field method to transform the wind series of WFs into different 2-D feature maps, and then construct homogeneous and heterogeneous STC graphs from these maps. The graphs are dynamically updated at the frequency of data update to capture time-varying STC among WFs. Finally, a dynamic graph attention network, designed according to the STC graphs, is established for WFC prediction. Through the above process, dynamic and accurate descriptions of STC are realized in WFC prediction. From the case study of a large-scale WFC with a capacity over 5800 MW in Northeast China, the proposed method reduces the root mean square error of the prediction in the next 24 hours by 2.67%.

Short-Term Prediction of Wind Farm Cluster Power Based on Bidirectional Interactive Fusion of Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Information / Zhang, Z., Wang, B., Yang, M., Wang, Z., Zhang, W., Huang, T., Su, X.. - In: PROTECTION AND CONTROL OF MODERN POWER SYSTEMS. - ISSN 2367-0983. - ELETTRONICO. - 11:2(2026), pp. 107-125. [10.23919/PCMP.2025.000058]

Short-Term Prediction of Wind Farm Cluster Power Based on Bidirectional Interactive Fusion of Homogeneous and Heterogeneous Information

Huang T.;
2026

Abstract

Recognizing the intricate spatiotemporal correlation (STC) among wind farms (WFs) is critical to achieving better predictions for wind farm clusters (WFCs). To describe the STC accurately, this paper employs the wind angular field method to transform the wind series of WFs into different 2-D feature maps, and then construct homogeneous and heterogeneous STC graphs from these maps. The graphs are dynamically updated at the frequency of data update to capture time-varying STC among WFs. Finally, a dynamic graph attention network, designed according to the STC graphs, is established for WFC prediction. Through the above process, dynamic and accurate descriptions of STC are realized in WFC prediction. From the case study of a large-scale WFC with a capacity over 5800 MW in Northeast China, the proposed method reduces the root mean square error of the prediction in the next 24 hours by 2.67%.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11583/3017421
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