Countries with rising incomes typically undergo a nutrition transition, marked by increasing consumption of animal-sourced foods and declining intakes of cereals and other plant-based products. However, large-scale, data-driven assessments of how diets worldwide align with this transition remain scarce. Here, we analyse dietary regimes in 188 countries, from 1970 to 2021, covering 370 food products, and identify a nutrition transition occurring at the global scale. On average, every tenfold increase in a country’s per capita gross domestic product corresponds to a 13% rise in the dietary share of calories supplied by animal products and to a 15% decline in the share supplied by cereals. Nonetheless, in several high-income countries, such as Canada, Finland, Norway, New Zealand, Switzerland, and the UK, the dietary composition diverges from global trends, exhibiting declining caloric shares from animal-sourced foods alongside rising contributions from cereals and plant-based products
High-income countries dietary trajectories diverge from the global nutrition transition / Giordano, Vittorio; Tuninetti, Marta; Laio, Francesco. - In: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH. FOOD SYSTEMS. - ISSN 2976-601X. - 3:1(2026). [10.1088/2976-601x/ae3ded]
High-income countries dietary trajectories diverge from the global nutrition transition
Giordano, Vittorio;Tuninetti, Marta;Laio, Francesco
2026
Abstract
Countries with rising incomes typically undergo a nutrition transition, marked by increasing consumption of animal-sourced foods and declining intakes of cereals and other plant-based products. However, large-scale, data-driven assessments of how diets worldwide align with this transition remain scarce. Here, we analyse dietary regimes in 188 countries, from 1970 to 2021, covering 370 food products, and identify a nutrition transition occurring at the global scale. On average, every tenfold increase in a country’s per capita gross domestic product corresponds to a 13% rise in the dietary share of calories supplied by animal products and to a 15% decline in the share supplied by cereals. Nonetheless, in several high-income countries, such as Canada, Finland, Norway, New Zealand, Switzerland, and the UK, the dietary composition diverges from global trends, exhibiting declining caloric shares from animal-sourced foods alongside rising contributions from cereals and plant-based products| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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https://hdl.handle.net/11583/3007595
