China is one of the countries severely affected by earthquakes, making precise and timely identification of earthquake precursors essential for reducing casualties and property damage. A novel method is proposed that combines a rock acoustic emission (AE) detection technique with deep learning methods to facilitate real-time monitoring and advance earthquake precursor detection. The AE equipment and seismometers were installed in a granite tunnel 150 m deep in the mountains of eastern Guangdong, China, allowing for the collection of experimental data on the correlation between rock AE and seismic activity. The deep learning model uses features from rock AE time series, including AE events, rate, frequency, and amplitude, as inputs, and estimates the likelihood of seismic events as the output. Precursor features are extracted to create the AE and seismic dataset, and three deep learning models are trained using neural networks, with validation and testing. The results show that after 1000 training cycles, the deep learning model achieves an accuracy of 98.7% on the validation set. On the test set, it reaches a recognition accuracy of 97.6%, with a recall rate of 99.6% and an F1 score of 0.975. Additionally, it successfully identified the two biggest seismic events during the monitoring period, confirming its effectiveness in practical applications. Compared to traditional analysis methods, the deep learning model can automatically process and analyse recorded massive AE data, enabling real-time monitoring of seismic events and timely earthquake warning in the future. This study serves as a valuable reference for earthquake disaster prevention and intelligent early warning.
Earthquake Precursors Based on Rock Acoustic Emission and Deep Learning / Jiang, Zihan; Zhu, Zhiwen; Lacidogna, Giuseppe; Friedrich, Leandro F.; Iturrioz, Ignacio. - In: SCI. - ISSN 2413-4155. - STAMPA. - 7:3(2025), pp. 1-19. [10.3390/sci7030103]
Earthquake Precursors Based on Rock Acoustic Emission and Deep Learning
Lacidogna, Giuseppe;
2025
Abstract
China is one of the countries severely affected by earthquakes, making precise and timely identification of earthquake precursors essential for reducing casualties and property damage. A novel method is proposed that combines a rock acoustic emission (AE) detection technique with deep learning methods to facilitate real-time monitoring and advance earthquake precursor detection. The AE equipment and seismometers were installed in a granite tunnel 150 m deep in the mountains of eastern Guangdong, China, allowing for the collection of experimental data on the correlation between rock AE and seismic activity. The deep learning model uses features from rock AE time series, including AE events, rate, frequency, and amplitude, as inputs, and estimates the likelihood of seismic events as the output. Precursor features are extracted to create the AE and seismic dataset, and three deep learning models are trained using neural networks, with validation and testing. The results show that after 1000 training cycles, the deep learning model achieves an accuracy of 98.7% on the validation set. On the test set, it reaches a recognition accuracy of 97.6%, with a recall rate of 99.6% and an F1 score of 0.975. Additionally, it successfully identified the two biggest seismic events during the monitoring period, confirming its effectiveness in practical applications. Compared to traditional analysis methods, the deep learning model can automatically process and analyse recorded massive AE data, enabling real-time monitoring of seismic events and timely earthquake warning in the future. This study serves as a valuable reference for earthquake disaster prevention and intelligent early warning.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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https://hdl.handle.net/11583/3003628