It is shown that the ordinary SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) epidemic model exhibits features that are common to a class of compartmental models with power-law interactions. Within this class of theoretical models, the standard SIR model emerges as a singular non integrable model. Various integrable models, whose solutions are defined explicitly or implicitly in terms of elementary functions, are discovered within the same class. A Hamiltonian dynamics with position-depending forces underlies a sub-class of these models. The general class of models is very flexible and capable of describing epidemics characterized by a finite or indefinite lifespan. In the last case, the compartment population distributions evolve in time exhibiting exponential or power-law tails.

Novel class of susceptible–infectious–recovered models involving power-law interactions / Kaniadakis, G.. - In: PHYSICA. A. - ISSN 0378-4371. - ELETTRONICO. - 633:1(2024), pp. 1-14. [10.1016/j.physa.2023.129437]

Novel class of susceptible–infectious–recovered models involving power-law interactions

Kaniadakis, G.
2024

Abstract

It is shown that the ordinary SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) epidemic model exhibits features that are common to a class of compartmental models with power-law interactions. Within this class of theoretical models, the standard SIR model emerges as a singular non integrable model. Various integrable models, whose solutions are defined explicitly or implicitly in terms of elementary functions, are discovered within the same class. A Hamiltonian dynamics with position-depending forces underlies a sub-class of these models. The general class of models is very flexible and capable of describing epidemics characterized by a finite or indefinite lifespan. In the last case, the compartment population distributions evolve in time exhibiting exponential or power-law tails.
2024
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11583/2993383