A sound understanding of a cropping system model with the global sensitivity analysis

The capability of cropping system models of depicting the crop and soil-related processes implies a high number of parameters. The aim of this work was to detect the key parameters, and the associated processes, of the ARMOSA cropping system model, considering two target outputs, crop yield and nitrogen leaching. A global sensitivity analysis (SA) was carried out in two steps: (1) the Morris method considering the whole set of parameters; (2) Sobol analysis was applied to the Morris outcome. The simulation was run on winter wheat in four soil types in Marchfeld (Austria, 2010-2018). Parameters affecting crop yield was the critical nitrogen concentration, the potential CO2 assimilation rate, and the drought sensitivity parameter. Nitrogen leaching was mainly affected by the decomposition of litter and the early aboveground biomass growth. The parameters ranking did not appreciably change across soil types. This study offers a quick and replicable methodology for model calibration.