Data-Driven Model for Real-Time Estimation of NOx in a Heavy-Duty Diesel Engine

The automotive sector is greatly contributing to pollutant emissions and recent regulations introduced the need for a major control of, and reduction of, internal combustion engine emissions. Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms have proven to hold the potential to be the thrust in the state-of-the-art for engine-out emission prediction, thus enabling tailored calibration modes and control solutions. More specifically, the scientific literature has recently witnessed strong efforts in AI applications for the development of nitrogen oxides (NOx) virtual sensors. These latter replace physical sensors and exploit AI algorithms to estimate NOx concentrations in real-time. Still, the calibration of the algorithms, together with the appropriate choice of the specific metric, strongly affects the prediction capability. In the present paper, a machine learning-based virtual sensor for NOx monitoring in diesel engines was developed, based on the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning algorithm. The latter is commonly used in the literature to deploy virtual sensors due to its high performance, flexibility and robustness. An experimental campaign was carried out to collect data from the engine test bench, as well as from the engine electronic control unit (ECU), for the development and calibration of the virtual sensor at steady-state conditions. The virtual sensor has, since then, been tested throughout on an on-road driving mission to assess its prediction performance in dynamic conditions. In stationary conditions, its prediction accuracy was around 98%, whereas it was 85% in transient conditions. The present study shows that AI-based virtual sensors have the potential to significantly improve the accuracy and reliability of NOx monitoring in diesel engines, and can, therefore, play a key role in reducing NOx emissions and improving air quality.