On Car-Sharing Usage Prediction with Open Socio-Demographic Data

Cocca, Michele; Teixeira, Douglas; Vassio, Luca; Mellia, Marco; Almeida, Jussara M.; Couto da Silva, Ana Paula Couto da

doi:10.3390/electronics9010072

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Free-Floating Car-Sharing (FFCS) services are a flexible alternative to car ownership. These transportation services show highly dynamic usage both over different hours of the day, and across different city areas. In this work, we study the problem of predicting FFCS demand patterns—a problem of great importance to the adequate provisioning of the service. We tackle both the prediction of the demand (i) over time and (ii) over space. We rely on months of real FFCS rides in Vancouver, which constitute our ground truth. We enrich this data with detailed socio-demographic information obtained from large open-data repositories to predict usage patterns. Our aim is to offer a thorough comparison of several machine-learning algorithms in terms of accuracy and ease of training, and to assess the effectiveness of current state-of-the-art approaches to address the prediction problem. Our results show that it is possible to predict the future usage with relative errors down to 10%, while the spatial prediction can be estimated with relative errors of about 40%. Our study also uncovers the socio-demographic features that most strongly correlate with FFCS usage, providing interesting insights for providers interested in offering services in new regions.

Titolo:	On Car-Sharing Usage Prediction with Open Socio-Demographic Data
Autori:	COCCA, MICHELE Teixeira, Douglas VASSIO, LUCA MELLIA, MARCO Almeida, Jussara M. Couto da Silva, Ana Paula Couto da mostra contributor esterni nascondi contributor esterni
Data di pubblicazione:	2020
Rivista:	ELECTRONICS
Digital Object Identifier (DOI):	http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/electronics9010072
Appare nelle tipologie:	1.1 Articolo in rivista

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